How To Calculate Odds In Soccer Betting
- Betting Odds On Soccer Games
- How To Calculate Odds When Betting
- How To Calculate Odds Payout
- How To Calculate Underdog Betting Odds Payout
- How Do Betting Companies Calculate Odds
The margin a bookmaker applies on the betting odds is the number one information a bettor should know in order to increase long-term profits, with lower margins favoring the bettor and larger margins eating into betting profits. Here’s a simple guide on how to calculate margins on 1X2 odds.
While novice bettors tend to compare odds, smart bettors know that the real price a bookmaker is charging is the betting odds’ margins - our Margin Calculator offers a simple way to calculate the margin applied to a bet.
Decimal Odds Decimals quote the potential return should the bet succeed, relative to the stake. If $10 is bet at odds of 4, the total returned is $40 ($10 x 4) and the potential profit is $30 ($10 x. The Football Odds Calculator is a free tool to estimate fair odds for soccer bets. Method of calculation: Mathematical football predictions are based on 1x2 odds. We analyse 1x2 closing odds from the past and can predict expected and fair odds for any real or virtual soccer game.
How to calculate odds of winning a bet is usually down to three things; the number of possible outcomes, the likelihood of an event occurring and the amount of money (or. For example, if you bet £50 with odds of 4/1, you will receive £200.00 profit if you win. What are American Odds? Used by most US bookmakers. Based on a straight single bet (on a single outcome, without a points spread). If the moneyline is positive, the quoted amount is the amount you would win on a $100 bet.
Let’s take an example of a soccer game with three possible outcomes (home team to win, away team to win, draw). For the first week of the Premier League 2016/17 season, Pinnacle offered an opening price of 3.41 for Hull City to win at the KCOM Stadium against Leicester City, who were priced at 2.39, with the draw set at 3.19.
Outcome | Odds |
Hull City to win | 3.41 |
Leicester City to win | 2.39 |
Draw | 3.19 |
Calculating 1X2 odds’ margin in two simple steps
1.Convert the odds for all three possible outcomes into decimal probability
2. Solve for the equation:
Margin = (1/Home Odds) + (1/Away Odds) + (1/Draw Odds) – 1
Step One: The first step in calculating margins on 1X2 odds is to convert each 1X2 market into a decimal chance of winning. That’s the equation inside each set of brackets above: (1/Odds).
For the home team, in this case Hull City, the decimal probability is (1/3.41) = 0.293 (which symbolises a 29.3% chance of winning), while the draw is (1/3.19) = 0.313 and Leicester is (1/2.39) = 0.418.
Outcome | Odds | Decimal probability |
Hull City to win | 3.41 | 0.293 |
Leicester City to win | 2.39 | 0.418 |
Draw | 3.19 | 0.313 |
Step Two: Now simply substitute the numbers above into the rest of the formula to calculate the margin.
Margin = (0.293) + (0.418) + (0.313) – 1. Therefore the margin is 0.024 – or 2.4%.
Comparing bookmaker’s margin
The same game sees another popular bookmaker offer odds for Hull City at 3.10, Leicester at 2.10 and a draw 2.90. This works out to a huge margin of 12%, which is more than five times more expensive than Pinnacle.
In practical terms, this means that if you had placed a $100 bet on Hull City to win on the 1X2 market you would have won $31 more playing with Pinnacle than by placing the same bet with another major online bookmaker.
At Pinnacle, we don't just believe that it is important to offer the best odds; we are also on a mission to educate bettors on how to make more sophisticated decisions. But don't take our word for it. We encourage you to check our margins and compare us to other bookmakers, before deciding what is the best sports betting deal online.
Due to our unique risk management model, we are able to offer better value than other bookmakers. This is why Pinnacle is the number one choice for sharp bettors.
Welcome to the Sports Betting Odds section of The Sports Geek. If you are new to sports betting and don’t understand how to read betting odds (+150, -110, +2200, etc) we will lay it all out for you and help you learn how the betting odds work.
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Sports Betting Odds Explained
Many people don’t know how to read or calculate sports betting odds, so below we have done our best on explaining how betting odds work. The most common type of sports betting odds used in North America are the American style odds which we explain below.
American Style Sports Betting Odds
Most online sportsbooks will list their odds in what is called “American Odds”. There are a couple different versions of sports betting odds, but these American Odds are the most common odds used. Reading and understanding sports betting odds can bet a little confusing to beginners, so we have provided an example below using two NFL football teams:
American Odds
- Matchup Odds
- New England Patriots +120
- Pittsburgh Steelers -140
The number shown in the bracket represents the odds. The American Odds have two components to them, the first being the positive or negative sign, and the second being the number that follows the sign.
The sign in front of the number indicates whether placing a wager on that outcome will pay out more money then you have wagered or less money then you have wagered. If the odd is negative (-) it means that outcome is more likely to happen and placing a bet on that outcome would payout less than the amount you wagered, while a positive (+) odd shows that the outcome is less likely to happen and it would pay out more than the amount you wagered.
The next step is figuring out exactly how much the bet pays out, which is where the numbers in the odds come into play.
A listed odd with a – sign in front of it, such as the -140 in our example above, shows us how much money you would need to wager in order to win $100. So using the -140, this would show us that you would need to bet $140 in order to win $100 in profits. You can easily substitute the $100 bet for a $10 bet by moving the decimal place over one spot, showing us that you would need to wager $14 in order to win $10 in profits.
Examples:
A listed odd with a + sign in front of it, such as the +120 in our example above, shows us how much money you would win on a $100 bet. Using the +120 odds, it shows us that a $100 bet on that outcome would pay out $120 in profits. Again this can easily be converted into smaller or larger size bets. A $10 bet on +120 odds would pay out $12 in profits.
Examples:
Below is an example of NFL betting odds taken from an online betting site.
Betting Odds On Soccer Games
How To Calculate Odds When Betting
In this example you can see Los Angeles is listed at +130 ($100 bet pays $130 plus of course your original wager back) and New England is listed at -150 ($150 bet pays $100).
The great thing about betting online is that the online sportsbooks will do the calculations for you before you place your bet. You can click on the outcome or team you would like to bet on, and then input the amount you wish to wager and it will show you your potential pay out before you confirm your bet.
How To Calculate Odds Payout
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Decimal Style Sports Betting Odds
Decimal style odds are used mostly in Europe, and are pretty easy to understand. To calculate the decimal style odds all you will need to do is simply multiply the amount you wish to wager by the decimal odds shown and you will get your payout. For example it may look something like this:
If you wanted to place a $10 wager on the USA at 2.40 you would simply need to multiply your $10 wager by the 2.40 odds (10 x 2.40) to find out that the payout is $24. It is important to realize that with decimal style odds it includes the amount you wagered, so to find out profits you would need to subtract your wager ($24 – $10) to find out your potential payout is $14 in profits.
How To Calculate Underdog Betting Odds Payout
If you wanted to place a $10 wager on Brazil you would again just multiply $10 x 1.55 to find out that you would win $15.50 total or $5.50 in profits.
How Do Betting Companies Calculate Odds
Decimal style betting odds are very simple to understand, but you won’t see them displayed in many North American sportsbooks. With that said, most online betting sites will allow you to chose the style of betting odds you want displayed, with American odds set as the default.