Consider the online political market PredictIT, which has been accepting “trades” on the odds of Kavanaugh getting a set number of “Yea” votes during the confirmation process. Odds Brett Kavanaugh Will Be Confirmed as the Next Supreme Court Justice.Odds have changed to YES (+105) and NO (-135) Kavanaugh is being accused of attempted rape from when he was a teenager, and his accuser is expected to testify this week. Now a second accuser claims that Kavanaugh sexually assaulted her when he was at Yale.

1. Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, who went through the mother of all wringers in his confirmation last year, is making headlines again. Of course, despite what the big red “Breaking News” tags on every media outlet across the country want you to believe, the newest Kavanaugh accusations aren’t actually new.
2. After Kavanaugh confirmation, Pelosi vows to unearth FBI docs as Dems demand impeachment inquiry. There were signs that, even though Democrats face long odds in their effort to have Kavanaugh.

Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, who went through the mother of all wringers in his confirmation last year, is making headlines again.

Of course, despite what the big red “Breaking News” tags on every media outlet across the country want you to believe, the newest Kavanaugh accusations aren’t actually new. It turns out that they were known to investigators – and the media – throughout the justice’s original vetting process.

In fact, the alleged victim in the case has repeatedly claimed to have no recollection of the event in question. And despite being continuously harassed by investigators and reporters for a solid year, she’s made it clear that she has no interest in speaking with them.

Helpfully, partisan political operatives have been more than happy to fill in the gaps of what supposedly happened at some teenage party a lifetime ago.

But as ever, history repeats, and this week’s moral outrage – real or fake – is palpable on both sides of the aisle.

As such, sportsbooks are getting in on the action. Of course, these books don’t really care what Kavanaugh did or didn’t do. They only care about giving an eager public the opportunity to bet on the outcome of the latest full-court impeachment press. (Incidentally, “impeachment” seems well-positioned to be the American Dialect Society’s 2019 Word of the Year.)

BetOnline has odds on whether or not Kavanaugh will be impeached by the end of the year, as well as whether or not he’ll just resign to get away from the unending libelous mudslinging of modern political theater.

Will Brett Kavanaugh be impeached by the end of 2019?

• Yes +1000
• No -2500

Will Brett Kavanaugh resign by the end of 2019?

• Yes +500
• No -1000

While the Kavanaugh scandal isn’t new – and though no new information has been unearthed in this conveniently-timed redux – the larger hope was that the public had simply forgotten the events of last year and would thus embrace the new media hysterics.

After all, it’s been just shy of a year since Kavanaugh took his place as an Associate Supreme Court Justice, and the madding crowd has a short memory.

So now, Kavanaugh is facing recycled accusations about various unprovable things that may or may not have happened at some undefined point a long time ago.

The bombshell (or dud, depending upon your perspective) reported by the New York Times was quickly proved to be an unethical smear job, leading to retracted tweets and “updated” articles (i.e. articles with salient, narrative-breaking details edited back in).

Kavanaugh, ironically, has been reliably centrist or center-left with his votes during his young career on the Supreme Court bench. Nevertheless, he remains one of the chief bogeymen among the left-leaning media and the Democratic side of Congress.

As in 2018, President Donald Trump quickly came to Kavanaugh’s defense this time around, issuing a series of tweets on the subject. Trump, obviously, is unafraid to defend his allies. Their scandals are unlikely to stick to the Teflon Don.

Commence #TrumpTweetStorm:

Summary Of Kavanaugh Confirmation Hearings

Brett Kavanaugh should start suing people for libel, or the Justice Department should come to his rescue. The lies being told about him are unbelievable. False Accusations without recrimination. When does it stop? They are trying to influence his opinions. Can’t let that happen!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 15, 2019

Can’t let Brett Kavanaugh give Radical Left Democrat (Liberal Plus) Opinions based on threats of Impeaching him over made up stories (sound familiar?), false allegations, and lies. This is the game they play. Fake and Corrupt News is working overtime! #ProtectKavanaugh

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 15, 2019

“The New York Times walks back report on Kavanaugh assault claim.” @foxandfriends The one who is actually being assaulted is Justice Kavanaugh – Assaulted by lies and Fake News! This is all about the LameStream Media working with their partner, the Dems.

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 16, 2019

“What’s happening to Justice Kavanaugh is a disgrace. This guy is not a good man, he is a great man. He has to go to his church with his family while these terrible reports are being written about him, a disgrace!” Dan Bongino @foxandfriends

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 16, 2019

Just Out: “Kavanaugh accuser doesn’t recall incident.” @foxandfriends DO YOU BELIEVE WHAT THESE HORRIBLE PEOPLE WILL DO OR SAY. They are looking to destroy, and influence his opinions – but played the game badly. They should be sued!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 16, 2019

And so on.

Meanwhile, as Trump offers outspoken support of his SCOTUS nominee, he’s also playing to his base in a political fight of his own. As with Kavanaugh, impeachment is the issue of the day.

However, after former Trump campaign manager Corey Lewandowski was aimlessly and embarrassingly grilled on Capitol Hill this week, Trump’s impeachment odds have grown considerably longer than they were before.

As expected, the week’s events have had no appreciable negative effect on Trump’s presidential election odds, with the incumbent still sitting high atop the betting boards.

2020 Presidential Election Odds

Via BetOnline

• Donald Trump +100
• Elizabeth Warren +400
• Joe Biden +700
• Bernie Sanders +900
• Andrew Yang +1200
• Kamala Harris +2000
• Pete Buttigieg +3300
• Tulsi Gabbard +5000
• Cory Booker +6600
• Beto O’Rourke +6600
• Amy Klobuchar +10000
• Mike Pence +10000
• Mark Sanford +10000
• Tom Steyer +10000
• Julian Castro +15000
• Jay Inslee +15000
• Marianne Williamson +15000
• Michael Bennet +25000
• Bill de Blasio +25000
• John Delaney +25000
• Tim Ryan +25000

At least we won’t have to wait a week to bet on who will be the next Supreme Court Justice.

Bovada released five betting lines on Friday afternoon that involve Judge Brett Kavanaugh, President Donald Trump’s nominee to the Supreme Court, following the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee voting to move the confirmation to Senate floor pending a limited, one-week FBI Investigation.

Below are current odds on Kavanaugh-related betting lines as of Friday afternoon.

Kavanaugh Confirmation Timeline

Will Brett Kavanaugh be confirmed as the next Supreme Court Justice?

• Yes (-180)
• No (+150)

Who will be confirmed as the next Supreme Court Justice?

• Brett Kavanaugh (-180)
• Amy Coney Barrett (+375)
• Field i.e. anyone else (+225)

Will Jeff Flake vote ‘Yea’ to confirm Brett Kavanaugh by October 31, 2018?

• Yes (-300)
• No (+240)

What position will Brett Kavanaugh hold on December 31, 2018?

• Supreme Court Justice (-180)
• S. Circuit Judge (+285)
• Neither (+285)

Will Mark Judge publicly testify by October 31, 2018?

• Yes (+400)
• No (-600)

Lead bookmakers are currently favoring Judge Kavanaugh to be confirmed as the next Supreme Court Justice and favors Senator Flake voting yes to confirm in addition to Mark Judge, a friend of Judge Kavanaugh, not publicly testifying.

The U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee voted 11-10 down party lines on Friday afternoon, September 28, 2018, to advance President Donald Trump’s Supreme Court Justice nominee, Judge Brett Kavanaugh, to a vote on the Senate floor.

However, Senator Jeff Flake (R-Arizona) voted to approve the nominee on the condition to delay the vote going to the Senate floor for one week while the FBI investigates multiple sexual assault allegations against Judge Kavanaugh are true.

President Trump ordered the limited, one-week FBI probe into the sexual assault allegation made against Kavanaugh after the committee meeting concluded.

“I’ve ordered the FBI to conduct a supplemental investigation to update Judge Kavanaugh’s file,” said President Trump in a statement. “As the Senate has requested, this update must be limited in scope and completed in less than one week.”

As requested by the Judiciary Committee, the FBI will investigate “current credible allegations” against Judge Kavanaugh, and Republicans said the FBI will ultimately determine what allegations are to be considered credible.

This comes after Thursday’s confirmation hearing involving testimonies from Christine Blasey Ford and Judge Kavanaugh with Ford alleging he sexually assaulted her at a party when the two were in high school.

During the hearing, Ford claimed she is “100 percent positive” it was Judge Kavanaugh who sexually assaulted her, while Judge Kavanaugh vehemently denied the allegation made by Ford and criticized Democrats for turning his confirmation hearings into a “national disgrace.”

Regardless, no one is certain how this next week will play out or what the FBI will or won’t find out during its investigation.

Kavanaugh Confirmation Protests

Currently, most prominent bookmakers have all the Kavanaugh-related betting lines closing at midnight eastern time on October 31, 2018.